Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has approved a new Ethereum ETF with staking capabilities, allowing institutional investors to earn staking rewards.

Daily top performer — Pyth Network (PYTH)

The S&P 500 dropped 1.5% to 5,282.70 this week, down 5.9% in April and 10% year-to-date, led by tech losses. Real estate and energy outperformed, while political pressure on Fed Chair Powell and inflation concerns weighed on sentiment. Gold dipped 0.6% to $3,319 after a record high, as Powell’s stagflation warning tempered its rally. Despite the pullback, the uptrend remains intact. The Coindesk Indices, which tracks the broader crypto market, are up by 0.77%, with Bitcoin and Ether rising 0.64% and 0.72%, respectively, over the past 24 hours. Trade these markets and more with up to 500x leverage on Bybit MT5 using this 

Today's top performer is PYTH, up 10.1%, following the launch of Pyth Entropy for secure on-chain random number generation by Soneium.

Pyth Network (PYTH),  is a blockchain oracle system that delivers real-time crypto price data to blockchains, enabling smart contracts to react to market changes. Soneium 

 Pyth Entropy, a tool for securely generating random numbers on-chain. Two apps, HandsNFT AI and 2p2e, are already utilizing Pyth Entropy to create unpredictable and engaging experiences.

Check out the latest prices, charts, and data of 

Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has approved a new Ethereum ETF with staking capabilities, allowing institutional investors to earn staking rewards. This approval follows recent changes to local laws, with China Asset Management (ChinaAMC) partnering with OSL Digital Securities to launch the ETF by May 15. The ETF will offer exposure to Ethereum staking, transforming it from a passive investment into an active participant in the Ethereum network. The staking process is powered by Kiln, with OSL providing custody and insurance services. The rewards will contribute to the ETF's net asset value, benefiting shareholders.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $25.9M in inflows, all from non-GBTC funds, while GBTC recorded no flow.

" and a points campaign called Drops, where users can earn points—potentially leading to an airdrop—by engaging with Linera content on X. To join, sign up on 

, complete tasks like joining Discord and interacting on X, then enter the campaign. Keep engaging to earn more points, but avoid spamming.

Beginner

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Hong Kong approves Ethereum ETF with staking rewards, boosting institutional participation

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events; the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume; and futures, options and perpetual contracts.

US president Donald Trump’s tariff policies are influencing both crypto and US equities. Last week, BTC and the S&P 500 rallied due to a 90-day pause in reciprocal tariffs (excluding China). Equities are slightly below their April 9 highs, while BTC is holding above $83K. Its implied volatility term structure has normalized, and the volatility skew has improved from last week’s bias toward out-of-the-money puts, though it hasn't fully shifted toward calls.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

Tariff pause briefly brings back trading volume

Since our last report, open interest surged on Apr 9, 2025, as crypto spot prices rose after President Trump’s temporary tariff pause, accompanied by a nearly $10B increase in trade volumes. However, trade volumes have since returned to mid-March levels, and open interest has declined from the April 9 highs. The initial price spike indicates the tariff pause surprised the markets, but the subsequent pullback reflects concerns over remaining tariffs.

After being inverted for much of April due to trade policy shocks and macro headwinds, BTC’s term structure has disinverted, with front-end volatility dropping significantly this week. Call and put volumes have been balanced, with calls slightly exceeding puts most days. Apr 9, 2025, reflected mixed market sentiment, as both call and put volumes rose, but puts were higher overall. Open interest remains greater in calls, and has increased slightly since last week, reaching its highest level for the month (more than double from the beginning of April).

Despite a rally on Apr 9, 2025 that brought ETH close to $1.7K, traders sought downside protection, leading to higher volumes in put contracts as compared to calls. Since then, ETHUSDT options volumes have declined, but open interest remains strongly weighted toward calls with later expirations, which have increased since last week. After being inverted for much of April, ETH’s term structure of volatility has flattened, with volatility compressing around the 70% mark across tenors.

Advanced

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Bybit X Block Scholes crypto derivatives analytics report (Apr 16, 2025): Bitcoin put bias has moderated, but not yet shifted to calls

KiloEx (KILO) is a user-friendly DEX for perpetuals trading, offering high leverage, rewards, LSTfi integration and a robust multi-chain ecosystem.

 trading is one of the most lucrative areas for cryptocurrency enthusiasts if you know how to navigate the sometimes complex world of these contracts. Unlike standard futures, perpetual futures contracts have no expiration date, allowing traders to hold onto their positions as long as they prefer. You only exit a crypto perpetual (or “perp”) contract when you feel it’s the best time to execute your long or short trade. The lack of an expiration period makes these contracts attractive for traders.

Unfortunately, many crypto perpetual contract trading platforms are far from user-friendly. It seems like many perpetual crypto exchanges assume that only professional traders dabble in these contracts, and along with that assumption goes a second one — that these pros can navigate even the most complex user interfaces. As a result, finding a user-friendly perps platform is a challenge in the world of crypto trading.

 (DEX) that aims to change the status quo by providing a user-friendly environment for traders. Its platform also offers high leverage ratios, integration into the wider liquid staking token finance (LSTfi) ecosystem and generous reward programs for referrers and affiliates.

Thanks to its numerous benefits, this DEX caters to the needs of traders at all levels of expertise who are interested in crypto perpetuals. Operational since mid-2023, KiloEx launched its native token, KILO, in March 2025 to further enhance its platform's reward, staking and governance mechanisms.

 (BNB) that specializes in crypto perpetual futures trading.

 The platform prides itself on offering a user-friendly interface, high 

 ratios of up to 100x, multi-token vaults with generous APYs and a number of reward programs for referrers and affiliates.

Co-founded by Joey Ni (CEO) and Charles Gong (COO), KiloEx was originally launched on BNB Chain's mainnet in June 2023. As of mid-April 2025, the platform has additionally expanded its service coverage to five 

 (B2). This coverage allows KiloEx to access the ecosystems of three leading blockchain platforms — 

Manta, Base and Taiko are Ethereum-focused Layer 2 solutions, while opBNB is an efficient and low-cost optimistic rollup for the BNB Chain, while B

 is a platform linked to Bitcoin that acts as a major Bitcoin DeFi (BTCFi) enabler.

Because it’s a BNB-native platform, KiloEx's industry footprint is most notable within this blockchain's broader ecosystem. In fact, as Apr 17, 2025, KiloEx is the top DEX on the opBNB network by 

Using Layer 2 chains allows KiloEx to offer its users fast and low-cost transactions, which isn't always possible on a typical Layer 1 network. It's true that BNB Chain, the primary Layer 1 used by KiloEx, generally has much lower gas fees than Ethereum, the industry's leading 

 chain that’s notorious for its exorbitant costs. However, KiloEx's partner Layer 2 networks help drive costs and transaction times even lower. BNB Chain's current average gas fee is slightly over $0.10, while the opBNB Layer 2 rollup's comparable fee is only about $0.005.

In 2024, the platform introduced one of its most innovative features — the 

, which allows liquidity providers to stake multiple assets to earn high yields. That same year, KiloEx significantly expanded its partnership network, becoming an active player in the LSTFi ecosystem. LSTFi is a new stream within the DeFi industry that allows you to use 

 (LSTs) on various protocols for additional yield.

Having solidified its market presence in 2024, the project launched its native token, KILO, in March 2025. However, in mid-April 2025, KiloEx 

 and halted trading on April 15 as a risk management measure, pending investigation of the damage.

The Hybrid Vault is among the most innovative features offered by KiloEx. Essentially, it acts similarly to liquidity pools on other exchanges. Liquidity providers can contribute their crypto funds to the vault to support trading activity on the DEX and earn interest on their contributions, based on the fees earned by the protocol.

You can contribute a mix of coins to a KiloEx vault. Supported assets include 

Depending upon trading activity and the mix of coins contributed, you can earn APYs as high as 30%, making KiloEx one of the most lucrative choices for liquidity providers in this niche.

KiloEx uses a health factor calculation for this type of vault to keep your funds and the entire ecosystem safe. Based on the health factor score of your contribution to the vault, your funds could be liquidated if their value drops dangerously low.

Discounts are also offered for fixed-term deposits for established assets, such as USDT and USDC. Withdrawals for the fixed deposits are processed upon maturity, while all other withdrawals are processed within one to three "epochs," with each epoch on the platform lasting about three days. Thus, depending upon your contributed funds, you’ll wait anywhere from three to nine days to receive your crypto back.

The KiloEx platform also runs a generous referral program under which you can earn rewards for referring your friends to the platform. The amount you earn depends upon the trading volumes generated by the people whom you’ve referred. Additionally, your referees to the DEX can also benefit from fee rebates, again depending upon the volume of trade they generate.

There’s a tiered system, comprising nine levels, based on which you and your friends earn commissions and rebates. Under this system, even those referred traders whose monthly volume is at the lowest level (below $5,000) can still benefit from 5% rebates, while you also earn a 10% commission.

The table below shows the structure of this referral system with percentages for commission and rebates based on monthly trading volumes.

KiloEx offers an affiliate program for key opinion leaders (KOLs) with a certain level of social media following and influence in the crypto market. KOLs may apply to join the program by filling out an application, which is then considered by the project team within 48 hours.

To qualify for affiliate status, a KOL must have: 

Approved affiliates are provided a link to the platform, and are encouraged to invite their followers to trade on the KiloEx. If they invite at least five followers who trade at sufficient levels, the affiliates can start earning their commission. KOLs can earn up to 55% commission, depending upon the referred followers' trading activity.

KiloEx’s native utility token, KILO, is a 

 asset launched on BNB Chain. It’s used on the platform for governance, fee discounts on trades, rewards via 

, liquidity provision incentives and staking.

KILO is a supply-capped asset, with a maximum and total supply of 1 billion. The token’s supply allocation shares are shown in the chart below.

xKILO is an escrowed version of the KILO token. You can convert KILO to xKILO at a fixed rate of 1:1. The primary utility of xKILO is to provide boosted liquidity provision, which makes it possible to receive staking rewards. By locking xKILO on the platform, you can access special discounts and other benefits reserved for VIP-level users. Holding xKILO also grants you governance power to vote and influence the platform's future direction.

Unlike KILO, xKILO is nontransferable and isn’t tradable on the secondary market. The only ways to obtain xKILO are either to buy it with KILO or receive it via airdrops.

Platform users can earn points to qualify for KILO airdrops. Typically, you accumulate points by trading, depositing funds, referring others to the DEX, checking in to the platform and completing other specified eligible activities.

The project’s initial airdrop, Genesis Season, had an eligibility snapshot taken back in July 2024. Under the currently running airdrop campaign, Pioneer Season, users can earn points to receive KILO tokens for 180 days past the token generation event (TGE) in late March 2025 (i.e., until late September 2025).

Additionally, you can earn KILO tokens on Bybit simply by participating in the 

 event and holding BNB in your account. Every day at various random times, Bybit will take snapshots of your BNB holdings in your Funding and Unified Trading Accounts to calculate the number of KILO tokens you’re eligible for. The campaign will run through Apr 25, 2025, 11:59PM UTC, and you’ll have your share of KILO airdropped seven days after this date.

 market as a swap pair with USDT. If you don't have a Bybit account, you can easily 

, and access opportunities across hundreds of trading pairs and crypto products on the exchange's Spot and Derivatives markets.

As of Apr 17, 2025, the KILO token is trading at $0.039, which is 76.2% lower than its ATH of $0.1648 on Mar 27, 2025, and 17.3% higher than its ATL of $0.03344 on Apr 12, 2025.

Long-term price forecasts for KILO are mostly bullish. CoinCodex 

 at $0.0387 in 2027 and then rise to $0.135 in 2030 while PricePredictions 

When it comes to perpetuals trading, both traditional 

 (CEXs) and DEXs have often struggled to offer an intuitive trading experience. In contrast, KiloEx has made user-friendliness a cornerstone of its operations. With KiloEx, you can enjoy a streamlined trading process, access market trends info for thorough research, get an overview of the cryptocurrency market and conduct other activities via an interface that’s designed for anyone, irrespective of their familiarity with decentralized trading.

The platform also boasts a diverse range of other benefits not easily found in the world of perpetuals-based cryptocurrency trading — generous leveraged trading options, trading fee discounts, lightning-fast trades, low trading fees and an innovative Hybrid Vault system. Many of these benefits are thanks to KiloEx's collaboration with several Layer 2 decentralized platforms, which provide the technical infrastructure to enable low costs and fast order processing.

If you’re a crypto perpetuals enthusiast, KiloEx is definitely a platform to peruse.

Intermediate

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KiloEx (KILO): More than a DEX — a rewarding ecosystem

In this article, Bybit Learn breaks down how the RFC meme coin was launched by the 'ifindretard' community, what’s driving its popularity and how to trade the RFC meme coin on Bybit.  

RFC quickly became one of the most talked-about and actively traded meme coins in early April 2025. In this article, we’ll break down how the token started, what’s driving its popularity and show you how to trade RFC on Bybit.  

Meme coins have always relied on humor to capture a wide audience and RFC is no different. The coin is inspired by the 

 X account that posts right-leaning, political and social posts on the platform. The account quickly became popular and gained over 718,000 followers as of mid-April 2025. 

 the launch of RFC, a Solana-based meme coin with a core mission of becoming the definitive meme coin for their community. The project aims to counter the prevalence of rug pulls and scams and create a token that is fair and community-centric.

The RFC token was launched on Mar 24, 2025, on the 

 platform. Within a few hours of its launch, the token graduated from the bonding curve and was placed in the liquidity pool. The initial post from the @ifindretards account is likely the major cause of the parabolic rise in the price of the token on the pump.fun platform. 

In the following days, the popularity of RFC experienced a significant surge, largely fueled by an enthusiastic community that rallied around the project. The coin’s 

 on Solana and its allocation of 96% of the supply to the public attracted a lot of attention from the meme coin community. Such community-centric characteristics quickly boosted the coin’s profile. According to 

, over 216 KOLs have mentioned the coin, with 124 being bullish and only five being bearish. This positive momentum was soon reflected in the price surge of RFC.

Following the graduation from the bonding curve, the price momentum continued and the coin reached a peak market cap of around $8 million, but quickly retraced to $1.2 million the next day. Over the next few days, the coin consolidated in the $1 million to $5 million range. 

On Mar 31, 2025, the coin broke out of this range and witnessed a 2-week staggering rally that saw the market cap rise as high as $138 million on Apr 14, 2025. This is a 25x increase from the first day’s close of $5.5 million. The coin has since retraced slightly, and as of Apr 15, it’s currently trading at a valuation of around $91 million market cap. 

The total supply of RFC is fixed at 1 billion tokens. The distribution of these tokens is heavily weighted towards the public, with 96% allocated for a public fair launch. Notably, only 4% of the total supply was allocated to the developer wallet, and the project explicitly states that there were no airdrops or presales.

If you’re interested in riding the RFC wave, you can go long or short on the token with up to 20x leverage on Bybit through its 

 RFCUSDT perpetual contract. Whether you're bullish or bearish, you can dive into the action and start trading the 

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RFC: Trending meme coin with a strong community

Indicators

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The Buffett Indicator is widely used to determine if the stock market pricing is overvalued or undervalued. But does it apply in the crypto market? Find out now!

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The Buffett Indicator (BI) is a tool used by long-term investors to determine if the current stock market pricing is overvalued or undervalued. It’s a relatively simple calculation that compares the total stock market value to the economic output of the nation.

Theoretically, we can also use the Buffett Indicator to understand the relative valuation of the crypto market. However, there are extensive differences between the stock market and the crypto market which make comparisons with the Buffett Indicator challenging. 

 to GDP) is a valuation used to determine if the aggregate stock market is relatively cheap or expensive at a given point in time.

The idea behind the indicator is that the value of a company’s share price will follow the rise and fall of the nation’s economic production. The Buffett Indicator is a longer-term model, as the stock market can remain far away from reasonable valuations for extended periods. The indicator is named after famed investor Warren Buffett, chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, who is known for buying and holding investments for decades at a time.

At one point, it was rumored that Warren Buffett called this ratio of market cap to GDP “the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.” We don’t know for sure if Mr. Buffett did make those comments. 

However, in the last 15 years, a series of dynamic factors — including suppressed and negative interest rates, unprecedented government stimulus in response to the pandemic and rapid fluctuations in interest rates — have contributed to a volatile trend in stock market valuations.

The BI Calculation of Market Valuation (CMV)

The Buffett Indicator is the ratio of the total stock market valuation to GDP. For example, if the aggregate value of all assets on the U.S. market adds up to $40 trillion, and the value of all goods and services produced in the United States is $20 trillion, then the value of the stock market is twice that of the U.S. GDP, meaning the Buffett Indicator would produce a value of 200%.

The numerator of the ratio is the total market value. It’s common to use the Wilshire 5000 index as a proxy for the market’s value, providing a good cross-section of the total economy.

As of August 2023, the Wilshire 5000 Index has a market value of $42.3 trillion.

The Buffett Indicator was created to be a stock market valuation tool. Could it be useful within emerging markets like the crypto market as well?

Theoretically, we can create a Buffett Indicator for crypto. The types of data and statistics used within the stock market can also be found for cryptocurrencies. For example, the denominator of the calculation is GDP. This remains the same whether you’re implying the concept in stocks or cryptocurrencies.

The numerator of the Buffett Indicator is the total size of the U.S. stock market or the market capitalization. We can also determine the market capitalization of the crypto market.

When we combine the stock market valuation with the GDP to create the Buffett Indicator, we get a result that looks like this:

Growth in GDP should create growth in total market valuations, and vice versa. When the figures aren’t moving in the same direction at the same speed, then you tend to see peaks and valleys within the Buffett Indicator’s trend.

Until the mid-1990s, the Buffett Indicator oscillated between 40% and 100%. Then, as the internet bubble began to heat up, the Buffett Indicator accelerated to 150%. The 2008 financial crisis and credit squeeze brought the indicator back down toward normal levels, near 50%. 

Since then, the indicator has climbed to a high of 200% and a recent low of 150%.

Increasing efficiency and improvement in technology within the economy would naturally drive the Buffett Indicator higher. As a result, an exponential trend line is added to the Buffett Indicator to accommodate these improvements.

Let’s adjust the chart to make the exponential trend line the new base. Then, any values above the trend line would show a positive deviation, and any value below the trend line is considered a negative deviation.

Any positive deviations are above trend and considered expensive, while negative deviations are considered cheap.

Valuations near the middle of the chart are near their exponential average and are seen as fairly valued.

The Buffett Indicator reached extremely low levels in the mid-1970s–80s and, most recently, during the 2008 financial crisis. At these times of inexpensive valuations, the market pricing was considered cheap and a good value.

What to Do When the BI Ratio Is High or Low

When the market has reached extremely high levels, pressing beyond +2 standard deviations, future returns are severely diminished. On the other hand, buying the market when the ratio is trading at a huge discount, near −2 standard deviations or lower, means that you’re picking up great value, with the potential for good returns into the future.

However, the market can remain overbought or oversold for long periods. Therefore, the Buffett Indicator is not designed to be a short-term market timing tool. However, it can help you identify when longer-term value is at hand for a better chance at longer-term gains.

When the indicator is greater than two standard deviations above trend, it generally suggests caution is warranted, as the potential for future gains is bleak. Here are a few actions you can take when the market sits within extreme overvaluation.

Within crypto, some coins and tokens are riskier and more speculative than others. Brand new cryptocurrencies that just launched which do not have a long history are a lot riskier than your large-market cap cryptos such as 

Consider closing out some of these dicier cryptocurrencies — because they’ll be the ones that crash the hardest when the market ends up correcting lower.

 has been especially long, it’s possible that the crypto portion of your overall portfolio is too heavy. When the Buffett Indicator is at a high level, that’s a good time to close out of some positions and reduce the exposure in order to increase your stablecoin stash. The stablecoin crypto can be used to beef up savings or transfer it to fiat cash so you can park it into other safe-haven investments.

3. Seek Out Income-Producing Opportunities

A high Buffett Indicator value suggests a downturn may be lurking. One way to extract more value in a downtrend is to invest in income-seeking opportunities. This may include loaning out your stablecoins or other cryptos to earn interest. This way, when regular income is difficult to come by, your investment can pay cash income if the economy tanks.

When the Buffett Indicator is at extremely low levels, you’ll want to reverse some of the suggestions above. For example, if a new bull run is about to kick off, then small-cap stocks tend to appreciate more than large-cap stocks do. This is because the stocks are small, and any large investment drives their values higher more quickly.

Additionally, when the Buffett Indicator is near extreme lows and a new bull run is about to kick off, look to sell out of safe-haven investments and deploy those funds into growth and emerging market opportunities. 

There is no single indicator, trader, or expert who is 100% accurate. All of the tools used to evaluate the market are simply that: tools. Understanding the backdrop for the market’s conditions can help you determine if the tool will be the best one for the job.

The Buffett Indicator was created as a relatively simple way to gauge overall valuations from a longer-term perspective. Owing to this simplicity, it also has some inherent limitations.

First of all, the indicator’s value won’t change much in the short term. A fluctuation in the market valuation of 10% might change the indicator by 10%, but in the end, this is not a huge difference. The indicator is not helpful in shorter-term trends, instead of working best when viewing multi-year trends.

Second, the signals from the indicator can remain at extreme overbought or oversold levels much longer than you might expect. Just because the indicator is overbought or oversold doesn’t mean the market needs to pivot in the opposite direction.

Lastly, the Buffett Indicator is applicable to 

 but it is still an unconventional concept in the crypto market. There is a lot of investment and factors pouring into the crypto market, driving its valuation significantly higher.

As the crypto market is relatively new, it will likely contain new investment dollars many years into the future. Therefore, comparing the size of crypto to other large established markets is one way to value it.

For example, Bitcoin has often been labeled as a “digital gold” asset. The valuation of the physical gold market is about $10–$12 trillion. If Bitcoin is truly digital gold, then how big will it eventually become?

Will Bitcoin attain 25% of the capitalization of physical gold? 

Bitcoin’s current valuation is around $500 billion and is less than 5% the value of the physical gold market. This suggests there is likely more room for Bitcoin’s value to grow.

Earlier, we mentioned that the rapidly increasing interest rates may knock down stock market values. If this truly reflects a negative growth environment for businesses, then central banks may lower interest rates to heat up inflation. If inflation rises again, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin could benefit from such an environment.

The Buffett Indicator is a good way to understand the relative valuation of the stock market, which currently is signaling overbought. However, when applied to the crypto market, the Buffett Indicator is less useful because crypto is still within its early adoption phase.

There simply isn’t enough history behind crypto to determine if it’s overbought or oversold on a long-term basis. Weighing the market capitalization of crypto against other established markets like gold may provide a better indication of its relative value.

Can the Buffett Indicator Effectively Measure Crypto Market Valuations?

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