The cryptocurrency market is witnessing an influx of speculative trading, particularly with meme coins like DOGE, PEPE and BONK experiencing extraordinary gains. 

November 2024 has marked a significant milestone for Bitcoin, with its price soaring to $94,105. This unprecedented growth has been driven by global events and heightened social media discussions, with predictions of six-figure valuations. Historically, peaks in social media chatter often precede market corrections, signaling traders to exercise caution. Currently, while whale accumulation remains strong — with wallets holding over 10 Bitcoin adding 53,006 more BTC in just one month — retail traders remain surprisingly cautious. This wary sentiment contrasts sharply with the bullish behavior usually seen during price surges, suggesting a potential correction.

The cryptocurrency market is witnessing an influx of speculative trading, particularly with meme coins like DOGE, PEPE and BONK experiencing extraordinary gains. Despite their volatility, these tokens reflect a broader appetite for high-risk investments. Notably, whale investors holding 1M–100M DOGE are accumulating, while smaller holders are selling, creating conditions for potential breakouts. However, if new capital stops flowing, these speculative assets could face significant downturns. Additionally, while discussions around Bitcoin reaching $100K are increasing, they haven’t reached the levels seen earlier this year, indicating that fear of missing out (FOMO) may not yet be fully realized.

Institutional Interest and Ethereum's Resurgence

Demand for Bitcoin ETFs has surged, with daily trading volumes hitting a record $8.21 billion, signaling increased institutional interest. This activity often coincides with market peaks, but could also indicate new investments flowing into the crypto space. Meanwhile, Ethereum has also gained momentum, breaking above $3,100 for the first time in over 14 weeks. Additionally, whale accumulation is on the rise, suggesting that as Bitcoin leads the market, profits may soon be redirected into Ethereum. In contrast, Solana's price movements remain highly sentiment-driven, with funding rates indicating potential entry points for investors. Overall, altcoins are experiencing growth, particularly following the U.S. elections, which have reignited optimism in the crypto market.

Advanced

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Bitcoin's Resurgence: Analyzing Market Dynamics and Speculative Trends in November 2024

Crypto market makers play a crucial role in providing liquidity by consistently placing buy and sell orders. Learn more about how they work here.

The cryptocurrency market is notorious for its high volatility and sometimes low liquidity, making it a challenging environment for traders and investors. Executing trades can be difficult, often resulting in significant price 

Market making is a strategic approach that provides the necessary liquidity to stabilize markets, ensuring smoother trades and reducing volatility. By creating buy and sell orders around the current market price, market makers help maintain a healthy trading ecosystem. This article examines the fundamentals of market making, its benefits for traders and exchanges and the way it enhances the overall efficiency of the cryptocurrency market.

A crypto market maker is an entity or individual who primarily provides liquidity in cryptocurrency markets by continuously placing buy and sell orders for digital assets. This activity ensures efficient trading and helps maintain stable prices.

Crypto market makers play a key role in keeping markets liquid by continuously placing buy and sell orders on exchanges. Here's a closer look at how they operate.

Key Characteristics of a Crypto Market Maker

Crypto market makers provide liquidity and stabilize prices in the cryptocurrency market. The following are the key traits that enable them to operate effectively.

Market makers continually place buy and sell orders, ensuring the availability of transactions for traders. This constant availability reduces wait times for trades and minimizes the price impact of large orders, making the market more efficient and accessible for everyone.

One of the fundamental roles of market makers is that of managing the bid-ask spread. By consistently quoting competitive prices, they narrow this spread, thereby enhancing trading efficiency and reducing costs for other market participants. This spread is also their primary source of profit.

Market makers leverage advanced algorithms and HFT strategies to analyze market conditions and optimize their order placements. This technology allows them to react swiftly to price changes and maintain a balanced inventory of assets, which helps to manage risk and maximize profitability.

Due to the inherent volatility of cryptocurrency markets, effective risk management is vital for market makers. They employ various techniques, such as hedging and real-time market analysis, to minimize exposure to sudden price swings. This ensures their operations remain stable even in the face of market fluctuations.

By providing continuous liquidity and facilitating smooth trading operations, market makers enhance overall market efficiency. Their presence attracts more traders, which increases transaction volumes, boosts exchange activity and contributes to a healthier trading environment.

Given the quickly evolving nature of the cryptocurrency landscape, market makers must be adaptable, continually refining their strategies in response to new technologies, regulatory changes and shifts in market dynamics. This ensures they remain competitive and relevant.

Crypto market makers play a critical role in the cryptocurrency ecosystem by providing liquidity and stabilizing prices. Despite the integral role they play, however, their operations come with both advantages and disadvantages. 

Additional Importance of a Crypto Market Maker

Crypto market makers play a vital role in maintaining the efficiency and stability of the cryptocurrency market. Their presence on crypto exchanges ensures trading environments operate smoothly. 

Newer and smaller cryptocurrencies often struggle with liquidity. Market makers provide a market for these assets, promoting their growth and creating a more diverse and dynamic crypto ecosystem.

Through continual quoting of prices, market makers aid in fair price discovery, ensuring that cryptocurrency prices reflect actual market demand rather than extreme fluctuations. This promotes a more trustworthy and transparent trading environment that allows traders to make data-backed decisions. 

Crypto market makers are essential players in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, providing liquidity, stabilizing prices and ensuring smooth trade execution. Their use of advanced algorithms and real-time order placements encourages a more efficient, accessible and fair market. However, risks such as market manipulation, potential capital loss and lack of regulation can be problematic. Overall, the role of market makers in supporting emerging assets and maintaining market stability makes them indispensable for a healthy and growing crypto environment.

Intermediate

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Crypto Market Maker: Boosting Trades With Strategic Liquidity

SEC Chair Gary Gensler announced he will resign on January 20, 2025, coinciding with President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration.

The S&P 500 rose 0.53% as investors shifted toward cyclical stocks expected to benefit from a strengthening economy, while technology shares lagged. Coindesk Indices, an index measuring broader cryptocurrency market performance was up by 4.79%, with Bitcoin and Ether rising by  4.19% and 8.75%, respectively in the past 24 hours.

Today's top performer is XRP, which surged 24.3% following the partnership between Ripple and MCSocialVenture to boost financial resilience and access in emerging markets.

Ripple (XRP), launched in August 2012, is a blockchain technology company focused on improving international payments with its cryptocurrency, XRP. 

, focused on investing in emerging market entrepreneurs. The initiative will pilot financial resilience and humanitarian solutions built on the XRPL, aiming to advance equitable access to finance.

Check Out the Latest Prices, Charts, and Data of 

 he will resign on January 20, 2025, coinciding with President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration. Gensler, whose term runs until 2026, faced pressure from the crypto lobby due to the SEC’s strict regulatory actions against the industry, including high-profile cases against Coinbase and Binance. Gensler’s departure is seen as a victory for crypto advocates, who hope the next SEC chair will be more crypto-friendly. Trump has hinted at firing Gensler on his first day in office and is expected to appoint a chair with expertise in crypto, such as Mark Uyeda, Hester Peirce, or Chris Giancarlo.

Yesterday, BTC Spot ETF data revealed a net inflow of $396.7 million, driven by $404.5 million from non-GBTC sources, partially offset by a $7.8 million outflow from GBTC..

 for those who participated. To claim, visit 

 using code B0FKOP. Additionally, Morph Zoo Season 2 has launched on mainnet, allowing users to earn points by bridging ETH or executing transactions on Morph. The Bitget Wallet offers a 1.2x multiplier on points to maximize rewards.

Beginner

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SEC Chair Gary Gensler to Resign on Inauguration Day, Marking a Win for Crypto Lobby

Traders seem to expect BTC’s momentum could slow down a bit after the price hit over $97,000.

Positive sentiment has continued to fuel the cryptocurrency market as the expectation of further institutional adoption of 

 keeps growing. Options trading of BlackRock’s Spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT 

 with a bang, attracting almost $2 billion on the first day of trading. The hope of more spot ETF derivatives to change the market structure with additional institutional money onboarding crypto is high.

, we explored the possibility of the market being overleveraged, which could be painful if the current leverage unwinds. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the estimated leverage of the current BTC markets has reached another YTD high.

Derivatives data on Bybit shows that traders seem to expect that BTC’s momentum could slow down a bit after the price hit over $97,000, and are focusing more on downside protection.

Figure 1: Bitcoin estimated leverage ratio at 0.23. Source: CryptoQuant

BTC Options Open Interest Returns to Previous High While Perps Are Catching Up

Derivatives traders have been actively participating in BTC markets as 

 on Bybit has surged to over $3 billion, on par with the previous high on Nov 14, 2024. Although the options OI has increased, it still hasn’t surged above the previous high. At the time, BTC’s price had already jumped to over $97,000. If the OI doesn’t follow suit and break above the previous high in the coming days, this could be a sign that the market could become a bit exhausted — something for all market participants to be aware of.

Figure 2: Daily open interest for BTC options on Bybit. Source: Bybit

 have also seen increased open interest in recent days. Perpetuals have been among the most favorable products for day traders and short-term speculators. Rising open interest could indicate that more traders are looking for short-term profit, which could bring additional volatility to the market. 

Figure 3: Daily open interest for BTCUSDT Perpetuals on Bybit. Source: Bybit

Dec 27, 2024 remains the most popular expiration date for BTC Options on Bybit, with most of the open interest there. Within that expiration, $120,000 calls had the most OI, and $100,000 calls accumulated the second-largest OI. 

Figure 4: Open interest by strike for BTC Options with a Dec 27, 2024 expiration. Source: Bybit

Meanwhile, the market’s optimism that BTC will hit $100,000 by the end of the year seems to support the current price momentum. Shorter-dated options could show that traders are also looking for downside protection. The Bybit 

 page shows that BTC Options with a Nov 29, 2024 expiration have a strong 24-hour inflow to $90,000 puts. This could indicate that some traders are also anticipating some degree of price correction by the end of the month. 

Figure 5: 24-hour volume by strike for BTC Options with a Nov 29, 2024 expiration on Bybit. Source: Bybit

 for BTC Options on Bybit also indicates a possible downside protection in play among options traders. A smirk skew, or left skew, is a skew curve that’s steeper on one side (the left side) than the other. Traditionally, a smirk skew curve could mean that traders have been protecting their portfolios against a possible declining market. At the time of this writing (Nov 21, 2024), BTC Options contracts on Bybit with Nov 29, 2024 and Dec 27, 2024 expirations have both shown a smirk skew. However, this doesn’t necessarily mean traders are bearish on the price, and could just be part of the trading strategy. For example, traders could set up collars by buying out-of-the-money (OTM) puts and selling OTM calls simultaneously, so that they can profit in case BTC’s price drops, gain upside exposure and potentially offset the cost of buying the puts. 

Figure 6: Implied volatility of BTC Options with Nov 29, 2024 and Dec 27, 2024 expirations. Source: Bybit

The current BTC leverage trading may be complex, but tells a revealing narrative about market sentiment. The divergence between high leverage and increased hedging activities also reminds us that market dynamics are rarely straightforward, and adopting a 

 seems increasingly important in this diverse market.

: Investing in cryptocurrencies and their derivatives involves substantial risk of loss, and isn’t suitable for every investor. This article provides facts for educational purposes only, and does not represent any financial advice. Prior to making any investment decisions, please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Our customer support team is available to assist you with any inquiries.

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Learn From Smart Money: BTC’s Leverage Remains High as Traders Hedge Against Downside Risks

Bitcoin

Investing

A $100,000 Bitcoin could profoundly affect individuals, influencing early investors' wealth and prompting new adopters to manage risks with strategies such as buy-and-hold, dollar-cost averaging, hedging, and diversification.

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The meteoric rise of Bitcoin created millionaires and billionaires on its rise to an astonishing price of $68,530 in November 2021. As of Nov 6 2024, it has hit a new 

, driven by election results suggesting a lead for Trump over Harris, though the race remains ongoing.

If Bitcoin keeps climbing and hits that elusive six-figure mark, what would it mean for finance, technology and society? This article will explore the potential scenarios and implications of a $100,000 Bitcoin and consider the factors that could drive or slow its growth, as well as the potential challenges and opportunities.

The $100K Scenario: Feasibility and Timeline

, Bitcoin could reach an all-time high again in the fourth quarter of 2024. A thawing “crypto winter” could

 propel Bitcoin's price to $100,000, based on the following factors: 

Based on historical price movements, BTC halving cycles and other factors, analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 or more by late 2024 or early 2025. One common reference point is the next 

 executed around April 2024, which cut miners' block rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 bitcoins. History has shown that Bitcoin tends to surge in price before and after each halving due to a supply shock that boosts Bitcoin's scarcity and value, often hitting new highs within a year. 

Upcoming Events That Could Cause a BTC Price Surge

Some of the possible catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to new highs in the future include the following.

Impact on Individuals and the Global Economy at $100K/BTC

Let’s take a look at the implications of Bitcoin reaching $100,000.

Impact on Early Investors and New Adopters

A $100K Bitcoin would have different impacts on early investors and new adopters, depending upon their goals, strategies and risk profiles. 

Strategies used to trade and invest in Bitcoin will vary, depending upon investor needs and time horizons. Following are a few common strategies.

Individual needs and circumstances determine the impact on financial planning. For some, this could mean achieving early retirement, financial independence or fulfilling their lifelong dreams. For others, it might mean having more savings to support their families and communities. 

If an investor’s portfolio has grown, a plan to rebalance it and sell concentrated positions may be necessary. In general, be careful not to let emotions cloud your judgment, and try to make rational and educated choices about your finances.

Impact on Traditional Financial Systems and Institutions

A potential rise in Bitcoin's value to $100,000 could lead to further excitement and adoption of cryptocurrencies, especially among those who wish to avoid government censorship. However, this shift could also create significant challenges related to consumer protection and financial safety. Governments are still figuring out how to tax and regulate crypto effectively while protecting consumers who are in essence becoming their own banks by holding Bitcoin. 

Achieving such a significant milestone could spark a wave of innovation and competition within the financial industry. Established intermediaries like banks and payment systems may face increasing pressure to provide more on- and off-ramps for Bitcoin. Results could include declining transaction costs, improved speed and efficiency of financial transactions, and new opportunities for financial inclusion and cross-border payments. Still, this surge of innovation may also bring new risks, such as regulatory uncertainties and funding mismatches, because traditional payments lag in speed.

In anticipation of such developments, authorities may consider regulations to rein in or endorse cryptocurrencies. Some governments might opt for restrictive measures, citing concerns over financial stability or consumer protections. Conversely, others might explore developing or adopting state-backed digital currencies to compete with or complement existing cryptocurrencies. For example, certain central banks are exploring the feasibility of issuing their own digital currencies, seeking to combine the benefits of digitization with the trust and oversight associated with the public sector.

Implications for International Trade and Global Currency Markets

With more consumer wealth tied up in Bitcoin, demand for it could increase as a medium of exchange for bigger ticket items like real estate or international trade. This shift could lower fees for international transactions while making real-time payments possible.

Operating independently of any governing authority, Bitcoin has limited supply that shields it from inflation, devaluation or manipulation by any single entity. It may attract individuals seeking to evade censorship or central authority on transactions. 

A $100,000 Bitcoin could introduce new dynamics to the foreign exchange market, generating fresh sources of demand and supply for various currencies. For instance, increased BTC usage for cross-border transactions would necessitate conversions between fiat and digital currencies. This phenomenon could impact exchange rates and the availability of on- and off-ramps for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin's emergence has also spurred innovation and competition within the financial sector, driving the development and adoption of new technologies and services to enhance the efficiency and accessibility of financial systems. The world’s foremost digital currency has also facilitated the rise of alternative financial service providers and platforms offering 

 lending, remittances and crowdfunding, potentially reducing transaction costs while enhancing speed and convenience.

The road to the top can be slick, and Bitcoin faces challenges and risks that could impact its price, adoption and sustainability. 

A $100,000 Bitcoin valuation could shake up cryptocurrency markets and highlight its place as 

 and a store of value. A substantial rise in BTC’s worth could validate Bitcoin’s role as a store of value, easier and more convenient to transact than commodities such as gold.

However, reaching a valuation of $100,000 isn’t guaranteed, and comes with its own risks and challenges. Regulation and scalability could limit its growth, and its volatility could also impact its investability. Additionally, Bitcoin faces competition from other cryptocurrencies and technologies that may offer alternative solutions.

The future of Bitcoin is uncertain — yet also exciting and promising. Bitcoin could become a global reserve currency, a digital gold, a catalyst for change or a tenured relic. Whatever change occurs, the question remains: Are you ready for it?

What If a Bitcoin Were Worth $100K?

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